Just like everyone else, I too spent some time in watching news coverage, reporting, and reading blogs about Satyam saga - some of them apologetic till the last day.
I have been wrong many times before, but this is what I think (or rather my influences make me think):
- Rajus have reportedly strong political connections. They should be out in no time. Their personal assets won't be attached/taken over; there would be no/negligible fine. They may be convicted after 5-6 years of trial, but would get bail.
- Satyam must have had cash. The whole Indian outsourcing industry couldn't have been booming all these years with 3% (below inflation) returns. This point has been made by a much more intelligent person.
- That cash won't be recovered. That cash should have gone into Raju's pockets.
- It looks like the auditors (PWC) have been accused before (Global Trust Bank). They won't be punished this time too.
I don't know what would happen to victims of this saga - 53K employees. I hope they do well.
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